Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 17.945019 21.665577 25.787521 30.668350 36.264397 42.454094 49.791405
2025-06-01 12.198060 16.940004 22.771646 30.361513 39.860098 51.231582 65.739680
2025-06-08 8.678151 13.539355 20.044841 29.155740 41.327139 56.752081 77.466552
2025-06-15 7.029276 12.081964 19.324820 30.070231 45.158180 65.105397 92.908927
2025-06-22 5.376182 10.196117 17.594379 29.198660 46.274497 69.746531 103.583277
2025-06-29 4.563849 9.412448 17.292203 30.224043 49.975868 77.964046 119.368314
2025-07-06 3.412500 7.781745 15.375097 28.499311 49.399109 80.021186 126.611351
2025-07-13 2.963651 7.309428 15.259663 29.542399 52.992488 88.189217 142.819624
2025-07-20 2.560869 6.829438 15.040893 30.350402 56.221400 95.933454 158.718214
2025-07-27 2.266773 6.503673 15.039732 31.495960 60.026230 104.692426 176.450864
2025-08-03 1.976596 6.115251 14.853394 32.269788 63.233397 112.646244 193.265301
2025-08-10 1.621215 5.479097 14.075398 31.864891 64.387612 117.391846 205.336748
2025-08-17 1.244749 4.707650 12.958782 30.831618 64.615384 121.057884 216.564973
2025-08-24 0.988509 4.173472 12.263062 30.546076 66.174677 127.045431 231.866849
2025-08-31 0.734912 3.534924 11.189854 29.335483 65.904949 129.922224 242.264096
2025-09-07 0.632081 3.341435 11.143066 30.254538 69.658731 139.773362 264.370503
2025-09-14 0.476967 2.882588 10.323618 29.378671 69.875279 143.496689 276.487080
2025-09-21 0.414900 2.754928 10.356279 30.409109 73.887457 154.045952 300.392769
2025-09-28 0.288474 2.267016 9.263809 28.675856 72.194572 154.308089 306.860336
2025-10-05 0.251774 2.180336 9.331256 29.724109 76.270078 165.185138 331.901744
2025-10-12 0.215347 2.071379 9.306171 30.536087 79.895282 175.378107 356.091119
2025-10-19 0.189688 2.006994 9.411428 31.687247 84.310086 187.210558 383.522875
2025-10-26 0.161696 1.906840 9.375380 32.464835 87.959611 197.743618 408.987072